2026 and Still Squeezed

2026 and Still Squeezed

A full‑time job in Australia used to be the basic ticket to a stable life. In 2026, that assumption is broken. The data are blunt: wages have crawled, housing and essentials have sprinted, and more people with jobs are falling behind anyway.[1][2][3][4][5]

On the income side, the Wage Price Index shows annual pay growth of roughly 3–4 per cent across the last couple of years. That sounds reasonable until you stack it against what people actually pay to live. A major review of rents found median advertised rents jumped almost 44 per cent over five years, adding about 200 dollars a week to typical leases and pushing median rents above 700 dollars in some capitals. At the same time, national housing analysis and consumer surveys list housing costs as Australians’ top financial worry heading into 2026.[2][3][4][5][6][7]

For renters, that means a rising share of pay disappears before food, fuel or debt are even considered. Charities like the Salvation Army report sharp increases in the number of households seeking emergency relief despite having at least one employed adult, tying that directly to rent and mortgage stress. In some regional areas, food‑insecurity surveys now find around one in three people struggling to afford enough to eat, with low‑income workers heavily represented. The line between “working poor” and outright crisis is thinner than it has been in years.[5][8]

On the ownership side, the squeeze is pushing would‑be buyers back into the rental pool or keeping them there indefinitely. Affordability reports show it can take a decade or more for a typical household to save a 20 per cent deposit in most capitals, assuming steady work and disciplined saving. In Sydney and Melbourne, that timeline stretches even further. While they wait, many of those households are paying high market rents, which slows their saving further. Some give up and stay renting; others who bought at high prices are being forced to sell and return to the rental market when rates and other costs become unmanageable. Every owner pushed back into renting adds more demand to a market already short on supply.[4][6][7][9]

This is not just “the economy doing its thing”. Policy choices sit all through the picture. Governments have allowed high migration and tight planning rules to collide with underbuilt housing for years, which basic supply‑and‑demand logic says will push prices and rents up. Tax settings like negative gearing and the capital‑gains discount have also favoured existing owners and investors over new entrants, something both official reviews and independent economists have flagged repeatedly. On the income side, wage‑setting has been more cautious, and while recent years have seen some catch‑up, the period from 2013 to 2021 baked in a long stretch where wages barely moved in real terms.[3][7][1][2]

None of this means work “doesn’t matter” now. A steady job still improves the odds of coping. The change is that employment alone no longer guarantees security. If rent or mortgage consumes a third to half of take‑home pay, and energy, insurance and groceries take more every year, the margin for error shrinks even for people doing everything conventionally right.[1][5]

The statistics tell the story: more employed people asking charities for help; more renters in stress; more owners slipping back into renting; and more younger Australians telling surveyors they see home ownership as unlikely on their current income. “Get a job” is no longer a full answer when the maths between wages and basic costs simply does not add up.[9][10][5]

Sources (links)
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9797-most-important-issues-facing-australia-january-2025[1] https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/wage-growth[2] https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/wage-price-index-australia/latest-release[3] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-08/rental-prices-surge-almost-44-per-cent-review-finds/105865000[4] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11-25/housing-unaffordability-reaches-record-levels-in-australia/106044078[9] https://www.canstar.com.au/finance-news/housing-costs-remain-top-financial-worry-heading-into-2026/[6] https://www.auspropertyprofessionals.com.au/2026/01/05/australias-affordability-crisis-why-housing-is-harder-to-reach-than-ever/[7] https://www.salvationarmy.org.au/red-shield-appeal/the-cost-of-living-crisis-in-australia/[5] https://www.uow.edu.au/media/2025/food-insecurity-affects-1-in-3-regional-people—and-its-worse-for-those-with-poor-mental-healt[8] https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/australian-youth-barometer-2025-financial-pressures-intensify-for-young-australians-as-confid[10]